This page will be updated accordingly with the forecasts that have been produced by VWS.
APRIL 2013
April
looks set to begin with predominantly settled weather across many parts
of the UK. It will continue to feel somewhat cold though, with
spring-like conditions struggling to establish themselves, and
occasional late snow cannot be excluded for some northern and eastern
regions. As the month progresses northern and western parts, and then
all regions, will turn generally cloudier and wetter. Only towards the
end of the month will the first hints of warmer weather begin to appear,
mainly for southern and eastern regions. Temperatures will be close to or below
normal; rainfall may be above average in western parts.
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MARCH 2013
March will
start with some lengthy spells of dry, indeed sunny weather, with
overnight frosts remaining a feature. However, it will turn more
changeable as various low pressure systems hold dominance. With strong
winds often from between the west and the north, chilly conditions will
maintain a grip on many regions, and occasional wintry weather will
affect northern uplands and, at times, lower levels too. As the month
closes high-pressure will re-establish from the north leading to a
resumption of drier conditions. March will be close to average
temperature-wise, but possibly slightly drier, particularly in the
North.
Sunday February 10th 2013
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FEBRUARY 2013
February will begin largely mild, and there will be abundant rain, wind and upland snow notably across Scotland, Northern Ireland and western districts of England and Wales. From about mid-month onwards these unsettled conditions will often become more restricted to central and southern UK, as drier and colder weather consolidate across northernmost regions. Disturbed conditions with wind, rain, sleet and some snow will therefore periodically affect southern and central Britain, with flooding, and at times heavy snow for some. Any clear days, especially later in the North, will be followed by cold nights, with widespread intense frosts away from coasts. Overall the month will be below average temperature-wise; it is likely to end up wetter than normal across some southern parts.
Sunday January 27th 2013
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JANUARY 2013
The New Year will start on a chilly note before milder, wetter and at times windy weather from the west prevails although some of this may occur as snow over northern and upland Britain. With an alternating pattern for much of January, by the end of the month a strong build of pressure, with intense cold, will have occurred to the east of our shores. The UK will periodically be influenced by this, with decreasing temperatures evident in many areas. Late month will therefore present chances for snow potential, mainly across northern and eastern areas where the cold and mild air masses meet. However, incursions further south from snow activity cannot be ruled out. The month is expected to be wetter than average. Temperatures generally will be close to average for January.
Sunday October 21st 2012
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DECEMBER 2012
December will start with a cold feel as high pressure temporarily anchors down. Where it stays dry overnight frosts will become commonplace, accompanied by localised fog that may persist during the short daylight hours. There will be a continued risk of some sleet or snow across northern and upland areas, with perhaps a few southern incursions. With a change to perhaps milder conditions just before the festive period, Christmas itself may well see a colder phase of weather with a White Christmas a distinct possibility, perhaps even across southern quarters. The month looks likely to be wetter than average. Temperatures for December will reflect on or around the average.
Sunday October 21st 2012
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NOVEMBER 2012
November is expected to be another very unsettled month with plenty of mobile weather, meaning a mixed pattern of wet, windy, and at times reasonably mild weather, with several colder, frosty episodes across the 30 days. The best of any drier weather looks confined to the opening weeks of the month, before the Atlantic takes more of a grip leading to periods of heavy rain and strong to gale force winds. Late November may well see conditions flip back over to a colder run of weather which will extend into the opening week of December, and here perhaps some wintry activity over the hills, coupled with icy conditions and night frost activity. At no time does there look to be any significant chance of disruption. On balance, a wetter than average month, with temperatures likely to show on or below the average for November.
Saturday October 27th 2012
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OCTOBER 2012
October will witness three broad weather types for the UK: settled (for short periods); mild and wet from the south-west; cooler from the north-west. We can expect an alternation of pleasant autumnal passages – especially in central, eastern and southern regions – with wetter and windier periods as depressions and fronts cross the country from the Atlantic. Later in the month an overall chillier regime will emerge with more in the way of north-westerlies and reduced rainfall. Snow will become more regular across higher land in the North and West. Temperatures overall will respect the October average; the South will be marginally wetter, the North slightly drier.
Tuesday September 25th 2012
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SEPTEMBER 2012
There is continuing evidence that passages of September will bring belatedly summerlike conditions to many parts of the UK, with prospects for warm weather especially across parts of central, eastern and southern England and Wales, where temperatures will often exceed 20C. There will also be more changeable periods of cloudier, breezier and wetter weather – conditions which will be most frequent across northern and western regions. Most parts of the UK will end up showing average for temperature, with rainfall approaching generally normal levels.
Sunday August 26th 2012
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AUGUST 2012
August may well offer something of summer at times with sporadic bursts of dry and potentially warm weather with 25 C likely to be exceeded, notably across England and Wales, but this scenario needs to be viewed in context since there will continue to be passages of variable weather too - cooler and wetter - featuring only brief, brighter interludes embedded within them. Breezy south westerly winds will also feature at times. There are indications that the month will come in on the average for temperature, although there is a leaning towards it being slightly cooler. August looks likely to reflect on or around the average for the amount of rain, with a leaning towards it being slightly wetter.
Wednesday July 25th 2012
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JULY 2012
The month looks distinctly average as high pressure repeatedly seeks to assert from the south and south-west but never succeeds for any length of time. Warmth, which will be commonplace across Europe, is only expected to establish across the UK for brief periods: southern and eastern England can expect the best conditions overall, where periodically it will feel very warm with 25C being reached. Cooler, breezier, more changeable conditions will frequently affect the North and West. The month overall is likely to reflect average temperatures, but below average is a risk; rainfall generally will approach or even exceed normal values.
Sunday June 3rd 2012
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JUNE 2012
June would appear to be sliding towards something of a wetter than expected month, with above average rainfall now likely across many areas of the UK. At times, summer will briefly show itself with some decent drier, brighter, and indeed warmer spells of weather, potentially very warm, but these will quickly collapse with thunderstorms bringing any run of fine weather to an abrupt end. Therefore, bar these glimpses of summer, expect cool, wet, cloudy, and at times windy weather to have the upper hand. Temperatures for the month are likely to reflect on the average.
Sunday June 3rd 2012
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MAY 2012
The month will show great variability. Across England and Wales there will be a mix of fair weather - but also of cooler, more showery conditions too. Any early summer weather will nevertheless see 25C exceeded across a range of locations. Apart from a short spell of fine weather, cloudier and wetter conditions will tend to become more commonplace across Scotland and Northern Ireland. Temperatures will generally end up approaching the long-term norm, particularly in the South; rainfall seems set to be close to the average, apart from in parts of the South where it could end up drier than usual.
Saturday April 28th 2012
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